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OSUFlatland
Using Programmer : stk500v1
Given that your programmer should support binaries > 64 kB, this might not work. Swapping stk500v1 for stk500v2 (-c parameter) should give better results.
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OSUFlatland
avrdude: stk500_getsync() attempt 1 of 10: not in sync: resp=0x3f
This means, communications partially works, but not the expected way. No clear way to fix this (googling together with "Arduino" will find a lot of ideas). Dis- and reconnecting USB often works.
Is the ATmega brand new? Are the fuses set? If not, try to add a -B10 parameter to make communications slower. Factory fresh ATmegas run at just 1 MHz regardless of the oscillator attached; not enough to communicate at > 100'000 baud.